Tariffs at the Intersection of Law, Economics and Politics

“Tariff,” a buzzword in the media often cited by world leaders and businesses—feared by consumers and global traders yet favoured by protectionists—has been making the rounds of late. Especially by President Donald Trump at the time of his campaign for the presidency where he frequently talked about imposing tariffs on select countries as a measure to protect the American economy and make America great again. The voters have given him a decisive mandate, and the moment he assumed office, he started imposing tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, China, and many others. In retaliation, Canada and Mexico have imposed similar tariffs against the USA. Trump has also threatened BRICS nations with a 100% tariff on imports if they adopt a separate currency for international trade. The US President has repeatedly cited that the imposition is against those countries, however, in reality the tax is levied on imports upon the importing entity and borne by American citizens. These measures have muddled international law, economics and politics and we are likely to end up with a new global order, different from what exists today.

Legal principles on international trade and tariffs were well settled through the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) and the creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The legitimacy of these new tariff measures is doubtful, as they defy the basic premises under which GATT was signed. The WTO agreements that followed were signed when I was graduating as a lawyer. In the legal circles at that point in time, the Marrakesh Agreement and international trade were widely debated. Both GATT and WTO agreements are based on the principles of free trade. These systems of rules were dedicated to open, fair, and undistorted competition. Competition is the foremost tool for achieving efficiency, and unregulated tariff measures hinder free competition and therefore must be curtailed. A globalized economy fosters efficiency by providing equal opportunities for international business, minimizing state interference, encouraging competitive enterprises, and ensuring the free flow of goods and services. With stability and predictability on tariff and non-tariff measures, investment is encouraged, jobs are created, and consumers fully enjoy the benefits of competition.

Since GATT’s creation in 1947, there has been demonstrable evidence of tariffs (customs duties) being lowered on imported goods. For instance, industrial countries’ tariff rates on industrial goods had fallen steadily to around 4% by the mid-1990s as a result of negotiations. The WTO operates on a few basic principles, one of them being the most favored nation (MFN) treatment, i.e., treating businesses from every member country equally. Any advantage, favour, privilege, and immunity granted by one country in relation to any product from another country shall be accorded immediately and unconditionally to the like product originating or destined for the territories of another contracting state. In short, no state shall be less favorable than the other. Another principle is national treatment, i.e., treating foreigners and locals equally. In short, the product of a territory while imported into the territory of another contracting state shall not be subject to directly or indirectly any internal taxes in excess of those supplied to the domestic products. The third principle is the elimination of quantitative restrictions that prevent the creation of quotas, import or export licenses, or other measures on importation of any products into the territory or for exportation.

GATT has limited exceptions to free trade based on predictable rules that include the ability to impose anti-dumping and countervailing duties. Similarly, some restrictions may be placed to safeguard the balance of payments. It also mandates a mechanism for consultation for trade-related disputes.

USA, Canada, and China are signatories to both the 1947 and the Marrakesh agreements, and this being the legal order for international trade for the last 75 years, a sudden abandonment of these agreed principles is quite surprising. These kinds of unilateral measures grossly undermine international law and its sanctities. It is interesting to note that none of these countries have made any effort to withdraw from the WTO before making such drastic tariff measures (Article 15 of the WTO Marrakesh Treaty permits and provides a mechanism for withdrawal).

Generally, a country can impose tariffs only through a legislative process. For example, Article 265 of the Indian Constitution says: Taxes are not to be imposed save by authority of law. The same is the case in most developed jurisdictions having a rule of law. The executive arm of the government cannot unilaterally impose tariffs or taxes of any kind. However, some select countries allow the delegation of this power. The USA is one such country. However, the extent of the delegation and the way such delegated powers are to be exercised cannot be unreasonable. The sudden action of the US President arbitrarily declaring tariffs has given an opportunity to legal researchers to explore the extent of delegatory powers on the imposition of tariffs.

Apparently, Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1932, coupled with Sections 301 and 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930, gives such powers to the US President. However, it seems unlikely that such wide arbitrary powers could be accorded to the president while completely disregarding the Congress as well as the international conventions and agreements signed by the USA.

Many argue that the imposition of such tariffs is equally disastrous for the US domestic industry on many accounts. It is protectionism and anti-competitive; it may create inflation, it may distort competition, and it may eventually force consumers to use or purchase substandard products at a higher price. Domestic protectionism is an area widely debated all through the last few decades, and economists have arrived at a consensus that any protective measure is detrimental to the overall economic growth. Is it time now to revisit this? Did President Trump and his advisors consider these aspects while taking such drastic trade measures?

From a political perspective, many have written that the Chinese economy has benefited the most under the WTO regime. It helped Chinese companies expand globally and sell their products and services freely across the globe. If we look at the dispute resolution mechanism under the WTO regime, we further observe that a significant number of cases have been filed against China under anti-dumping, countervailing, and safeguard measures. Many say that the Chinese economy is highly regulated and controlled, where there are fewer labour regulations and environmental regulations, and where global trade is aided by the government. One thing is sure: the sociopolitical environment in China gives Chinese companies an advantage compared to companies in the western world, where the cost of manufacturing is higher due to the increased compliance costs under labour and environmental laws. This advantage was hugely capitalized on by Chinese companies. They enjoy a trade surplus with most trading partners. If you look at many emerging segments, China has supremacy and monopolistic control in semiconductors, EV batteries, critical minerals, etc. Such a dominant position is not encouraging or desirable. It could affect the sovereign powers of other countries and disrupt the day-to-day functioning of the rest of the world. From a political perspective, it is appropriate to have some measures to control this dominance. After all, the sovereignty of each country is paramount, and protecting national interests is a superior obligation to international trade agreements. This leads us to think that the time has arrived for a new world order completely deviating from the WTO regime. 

In short, the recent actions of President Trump and the retaliatory actions of the affected countries are a good case for students of law, economics, and politics to rethink the law and practice of international trade. The academic community all over the globe will bring up a very interesting perspective on all these aspects in the days to come.

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Photo by Zeynep Erten on Pexels 

 

USA, Canada and China are signatories to both the 1947 and the Marrakesh agreements and this being the legal order for international trade for the last 75 years, a sudden abandonment of these agreed principles is quite surprising. These kinds of unilateral measures grossly undermine international law and its sanctities. It is interesting to note that none of these countries have made any effort to withdraw from the WTO before making such drastic tariff measures (Article 15 of WTO Marrakesh Treaty permits and provides a mechanism for withdrawal).

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Education in India: Time to Connect the Dots and Look at the Big Picture

In the last few days, I read news reports that are seemingly unrelated on the surface. However, I think there exists a deeper connection for those willing to think outside the box. I thought I would use this article to articulate my thoughts on the connections and their possible implications for India. 

India’s New Education Policy expected to gain traction

The first item was about various initiatives announced by the Union government on the first anniversary of India’s National Education Policy (NEP). While internationalization, multiple entry/exit options, and digital education will be key pillars, one other important component is to enable students to pursue first-year Engineering courses in Indian languages.

In the context of the broad-brush changes envisioned to India’s education system, it is time to rethink the role of the UGC as a body that enables the nation’s higher education system in ways beyond disbursing funds to be recognized universities. There also ought to be more harmony between the various Boards that govern school education. The roles of bodies responsible for governing professional education in India- e.g., AICTE, NMC (which replaced the MCI), ICAI, ICSI, ICWAI, Bar Council of India etc. should also be redefined to ensure that India’s professionals remain in tune with the needs of a fast-changing world.

English will play an important role in our continued growth

The second report that caught my attention was on two main points made by Mr. Narayana Murthy (the Founder of Infosys), in a recent media interaction. He stated that it is high time that English be formally acknowledged and designated as India’s official link language, and greater emphasis is given to its teaching and learning in Indian schools. He said that his opinion is based on his first-hand knowledge of many technically qualified students in Bangalore/Karnataka who lose out in the job market largely because they lack a certain expected level of proficiency in English.

In the same interview, Mr. Murthy went on to say that on a priority basis, India needs overseas universities and vocational educational institutions to set up facilities in India to train students and teachers in key areas like nursing. This too makes sense because our healthcare infrastructure needs massive upgrades- and human resources will be critical.

China’s tightening regulations threaten its US$100 Billion EdTechc industry

The third report was on China’s recent decision to tightly regulate its online tutoring companies. The new rules bar online tutoring ventures from going public or raising foreign capital. There are also restrictions on the number of hours for which tutors can teach during weekends and vacations. In fact, the rules go so far as to make online tutorial businesses “not for profit”.

Different views have been expressed on why Chinese authorities have taken this step. Some see it as a means to reduce the cost of children’s education- and thus encourage couples to have more children. They point to this as a logical enabler of the recent relaxations in China’s two-child policy. Others view it as a step designed to clip the wings of Chinese tech companies that are deeply entrenched in many consumer segments, and have, over the past decade, acquired significant financial muscle.

To put into perspective the size of Chinese EdTech companies, consider this data point: Byju’s, arguably India’s largest EdTech company, was valued at over US$16.5 Billion as of mid-June 2021. Despite this high valuation, Byju’s would have been smaller than the top 5 Chinese EdTech players (on the basis of valuations that existed before the recent draconian rules came into effect).

Implications for India

The majority of China’s EdTech ventures are financed through significant venture capital investments from the west. Analysts expect that China’s sudden actions will, at least in the short run, divert capital to other locations. India could be a potential beneficiary because it already fosters a large EdTech ecosystem.

Given our demographics, we have a significant domestic market for education across all levels- primary, secondary, and college. Since digital education will likely become the norm, this space is ripe for newfangled innovations in the days ahead. If online education can bridge the gaps that employers currently perceive in our fresh graduates, unemployability rates shall notably decline. . This will not only contribute directly to our GDP but also indirectly stimulate innovation and entrepreneurship.

India has a large technical skill base. Some of these resources can easily be harnessed to develop next-gen education solutions using cutting-edge technologies such as AI, ML, Language Processing, Augmented Reality, etc. To begin with, Indian start-ups can build, test, and scale EdTech platforms and solutions for our domestic market. Over time, these can be refined and repurposed for global markets. Similarly, features built for the global market can be adapted to Indian markets, thus creating a virtual cycle. Such a trend will not only proffer legs to implementing India’s NEP but will also enable us as a society to improve access to education to underprivileged sections of the society. This is critical to sustaining our growth on the path of socio-economic development.

By taking the right decisions now, we can attract capital, talent, and world-famous institutional brands to this critical sector. EdTech in India has the potential to become a powerful engine of growth for our services sector. Done right, I have no doubt that in a few years, India can become a “Vishwaguru” not just in the spiritual sense, but also literally.

PS: As with many other sectors in India, the legal framework that governs education too needs to be made more contemporary and relevant, but that’s for another time.

Image Credits: Photo by Nikhita S on Unsplash

By taking the right decisions now, we can attract capital, talent and world-famous institutional brands to this critical sector. EdTech in India has the potential to become a powerful engine of growth for our services sector. Done right, I have no doubt that in a few years, India can become a “Vishwaguru” not just in the spiritual sense, but also literally.

 

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